juju
Наемник
не мое, признаюсь, стыренное где то на просторах интернета. но интересно, поэтому поделюсь. (переводить лень)
The ‘War of the Roses’ was GRRM’s inspiration, as well as his source for the medieval culture, realities, and principles that are seen in the ASOIAF book series. The House of Plantagenet was a French family originating in Anjou that held the English throne from 1154 to 1485, starting with the accession of HENRY II and ending with the death of Richard III, and the coronation of HENRY VII -who was not a Plantagenet. Within that period, some historians identify the four distinct royal houses as: Anjou, Plantagenet, Lancaster, and York. The name of Plantagenet, which historians use to reference the entire dynasty, originated in the 15th century and derives from a 12th-century nickname for Geoffrey V. A long series of civil wars from 1455 to 1487 ended with the fall of the Houses of Lancaster (Red Rose was their sigil) and York (White Rose was their sigil). The realm was healed by an unexpected “prince who was promised” who started a new dynasty by creating a “Song of Ice and Fire” by uniting the Houses Lancaster (Red - Fire) to House York (White – Ice); His name was Henry Tudor (Henry VII). The Tudor Sigil is the “Tudor Rose” also called the “Union Rose.” It is the white rose of York placed upon the red rose of Lancaster. The nobility of the name “Henry” is on par with “Aegon.” It is not the ‘name’ that Made Henry Tudor a King, and enabled him to keep his throne. Henry Tudor had a weak claim to the throne, in terms of inheritance. Henry Tudor’s father, Edmund Tudor, had died shortly after Henry’s birth. Edmund Tudor was the maternal half brother of King Henry IV (France) who arranged the marriage of Edmund to Margaret Beauford who was the great granddaughter of the first duke of Lancaster. Henry Tudor’s royal bloodline was from the line of daughters and not sons. He did not have a claim by right of inheritance; Henry Tudor claimed the throne through “right of conquest.” He had the perfect conditions, the perfect storm. He also had the right education, life experiences, and supporters and counselors. Henry knew what it was to be hungry and to struggle. He was raised in hiding in the Welsh Wilderness. He had been ward to his uncle, Jasper Tudor and of the York-ist Lord Herbert. Henry Tudor understood the meaning behind, “The Dragon has Three Heads.” A ruler needs the wisdom and skill of trusted counselors / advisors. Unity within the realm is key: The 3 heads of York-Lancaster-Tudor became one power by his marriage to the eldest daughter of Edward IV (House York) and Elizabeth (the White Queen). Henry Tudor’s children with Elizabeth of York would be the most direct royal line from Edward IV (York) and Henry VI (Lancaster). To seize the throne, Henry Tudor needed to wait for the perfect storm to brew. The Perfect Storm: This ‘storm’ was provided by the royal jackass: Richard III. Richard Plantagenet (Richard III) was Edward of York (Edward IV)’s brother. Edward IV died unexpectedly from a 3-week illness. His wife, “The White Queen” Elizabeth Woodville, knew her two sons with King Edward IV were in immediate danger. Edward IV’s eldest of the two sons, Prince Edward V, was 12 years old. Richard required that he act as regent until Edward V came of age. He named himself, “Lord Protector of the Realm.” Elizabeth Woodville took herself and her children, except Edward V –who was already taken by Richard, to a religious sanctuary. The White Queen did what she could to lobby for Edward V’s immediate coronation. Richard had put Edward V in the Tower of London for “his safety.” The Tower of London was known as a prison, and not a place of ‘sanctuary.’ Richard Plantagenet then required the possession of Edward IV’s and The White Queen’s other son, who was also named Richard, claiming that 9-year-old Richard was to play a key role in Edward V’s coronation. Elizabeth Woodville (The White Queen) enabled the transport of a 9-year-old boy, who may or may not have been her son with Edward IV to the Tower of London. Does a woman hide her two most precious jewels in the same box? From this point, the two boys in the Tower of London were known as the legend of the “Princes in the Tower.” The day before the coronation, the coronation was cancelled. Richard (Edward IV’s brother) decreed that Edward IV’s marriage to Elizabeth Woodville was invalid due to the fact that Edward IV had been betrothed to another noblewoman before he had married Elizabeth Woodville. Therefore Edward IV’s sons, Edward and Richard, are bastards (illegitimate) and are thus, ineligible to accede to the throne. The Princes in the Tower were never seen again. Via this scam, Richard usurped the throne and became Richard III. There were over 40 courses at his elaborate coronation celebration. Richard III was good at spending money on himself. Richard III enacted a vendetta against religious impurity and sexual offenders. He had Edward IV’s most politically powerful mistress, Jane Shore, charged with sorcery and witchcraft –accusing her of causing his (Richard III’s) scoliosis. To atone for her sexual sins, Jane was forced to walk through the streets of London wearing only a sheer petticoat and holding a thin candle. She was then thrown into Ludgate prison. Richard III also tried to be-head Elizabeth Woodville’s relatives for treason, but he had no acts of treason to report and the nobility expressed enough objection to the undeserved executions. Rumors circulated that the “Princes in the Tower” were dead, and Richard III had murdered them. The Princes were missing and their bodies have never been found – to date, the mystery has never been solved. Like Cersei Lannister, Richard III thought that he was a competent ruler and not in need of counsel, and like Cersei, was wrong on all counts. The Realm was doing poorly financially and the common people were disgruntled and disgusted with their usurper, kin-slaying monarch. A rebellion arose by allies of his deceased brother, Edward IV, and Henry Stafford -the Duke of Buckingham. It failed, but kept Richard III anxious and paranoid. In a bone-headed attempt to secure his claim to the throne and appease the people, Richard III only succeeded in disgusting the realm further. Richard III’s wife, Anne Neville (She was the daughter of the Duke of Warwick, Richard Neville, who was also known as “The Kingmaker”) became ill. Shortly after Anne Neville’s death, Richard Plantagenet (Richard III) announced that he would marry his Brother’s (Edward IV’s) eldest daughter, Elizabeth Plantagenet. Cousins are one fine-line of acceptable incest in medieval times, but your sibling’s child was NOT socially acceptable by medieval standards and was seen as Richard III’s pursuit of inappropriate incest. In addition, Richard III’s niece, Elizabeth Plantagenet, was already betrothed to Henry Tudor. This betrothal had been arranged before Edward IV’s death. Wait, didn’t Richard III deem all of Edward IV’s children as illegitimate because of a prior betrothal? And now he wants to make one of Edward’s illegitimate daughters his queen, so that he too can have illegitimate children? What an Idiot-asshole-King! ! What happened to Richard III’s war against impure morality? ? ? As the Lancasters and Yorks killed each other, Henry Tudor had become the man with the most Lancaster blood amongst his remaining family. That required a lot of dead Lancasters, considering Henry iwas a very distant relative. Thoughts of raising Henry Tudor to the throne began toward the end of Edward IV’s reign. The supporters of Henry were in watchful waiting of Richard III, for the right time to strike –when Richard III’s popularity was at its lowest point and the realm was financially struggling and fed-up. Henry Tudor had the support of French troops and recruited enough soldiers to defeat Richard III at the Battle of Bosworth Field. Richard III was killed on the battlefield. Henry Tudor was crowned and named Henry VII and made Elizabeth Plantagenet of York his queen, thus uniting red and white –and the realm after 85 years of war. He improved conditions for commoners and improved the judicial system. He knew that the Dragon has 3 heads, when it comes to powerful ruling. Henry VII created the “Committee of the Privy Council (a forerunner of the modern cabinet) as an executive advisory board. Henry VII was frugal and was not extravagant, nor did he personally accept extravagant gifts. The treasury was nearly bankrupt, thanks to Richard III and the 85 years of war. As an alternative to a revenue tax disbursement from Parliament, he imposed forced loans and grants on the nobility, rather than taxing the commoners. Taxes were enacted by the parliament, and not by the King. Henry VII had parliament retroactively declare him as King on the day before the Battle of Bosworth so that the lands of the traitors who fought against him in that battle were returned to the crown. Henry had those lands reallocated and tended in ways that increased their value and productivity. He also improved trading conditions with other countries. He began in near bankruptcy and died with a large inheritance for his heirs and a stable realm. None of Henry Tudor’s (Henry VII’s) aforementioned successes happened overnight; it was slow and steady progress –with intermittent insignificant rebellions by those claiming to have more of a blood right to the throne. There was a Richard Plantagenet of York who claimed to be the younger Prince in the Tower. He was placed in stocks until he admitted to being an imposter, this happened about 2-3 times before he was finally hanged as a criminal. Whether this individual had been the Prince in the Tower was not proved or disproved. It would not matter because this Richard did not have enough money and competent supporters, and Henry Tudor had not lost favor with his supporters and the general public. In addition, Elizabeth of York, was not going to give up her place as Henry VII’s queen by providing an identity confirmation. Henry Tudor had married the right person to secure his place on the throne. It is written that they grew to love each-other and Elizabeth was fair-skinned with reddish hair and was reported as gentle, kind, and generous and lived quietly with her children and had little involvement with politics (sounds like Sansa). The deaths of Tywin and Kevan Lannister and the hot mess Cersei Lannister and Littlefinger have created in King’s Landing is “the perfect storm” for a usurper to be supported and welcomed. Young Griff –Aegon, regardless of who he really is, has exactly what he needs to recruit an Army and seize the throne. He has competent advisors: Varys and Jon Connington –who both attest to his identity as Aegon. Tyrion, who had never seen Prince Aegon, was convinced that Young Griff was Aegon. If Tyrion can be convinced . . . it should not be hard to convince more affluent supporters. In addition, Aegon has been groomed to be likable, competent, fair, and humble. He has what he needs to conquer and keep the throne. However, there will always be a bit of doubt about his identity as Aegon. Therefore, his marriage will be an important aspect of keeping the peace. Aegon will face the same challenges Henry Tudor had to face. It seems to me that GRRM’s Young-Griff-Aegon is like a “Richard the Prince in the Tower” who was possibly swapped and then given the upbringing and support that Henry Tudor had been given. The timing is right and Aegon has the right resources and skill set. Being the son of Elia Martell, if Aegon is convincing enough, he could acquire support from Dorne without having to marry a Dornish aristocrat (like Henry Tudor and the French –Henry Tudor was a descendent of French Royalty in addition to the Lancaster line). A marriage to Arya or Sansa Stark would unite the South with the North (red and white), creating a song of ice and fire. We do not have a POV character whom is/was an eyewitness of the swap, if a swap genuinely took place. However, we have two Jon Connington chapters in ADwD Chaps 24 & 61. From those POV chapters, we know that Jon Connington, indeed, believes that Young-Griff-Aegon is Rhaegar’s son and Connington does not want to fail Rhaegar’s son the way he feels that he had failed Rhaegar. Jon Connington was not there at the Swap, but in order to convince Jon; Jon must have known that a swap had been considered. In addition, Aegon must look enough like Rhaegar and Elia to have convinced Connington of the swap. Just like the “Princes in the Tower”, I do not think GRRM is going to give us a POV eyewitness confirmation. It will remain an unsolved mystery, just as it is in our reality. Illyrio Mopatis stated, “Black or red, a dragon is still a dragon.” This tells us that Illyrio knows that it does not matter whether Aegon is a Blackfyre or Targaryen. If either Dany or Aegon are on the throne, Illyrio believes that he will profit. Whether Aegon is a Targaryen or Blackfyre, Illyrio will profit. Illyrio’s statement does raise an eyebrow regarding Young Griff’s authenticity, but as stated above, Aegon does not need to be a true Targaryen, he just needs to be convincing enough to acquire enough supporters to rise up and seize the Red Keep. Both Dany and Aegon will have to claim the throne “by right of conquest” (and not by right of inheritance) –so neither have a ‘birth authenticity’ that matters or changes what is required (of either of them) to claim and keep the throne. They need to keep the people fed and happy and must become the kind of ruler the people would want to keep on the throne. The Tudors left England in better condition than they had found it, after Henry VII’s first ~5 years of reign, no one cared about his blood. The Tudors made names for themselves; they are known as the most successful dynasty of England, to date. Doran and Oberyn are/were very intelligent; I believe Elia was cut from the same cloth. Elia knew how important Aegon was in terms of succession and she had known that she would need to protect Aegon from Mad King Aerys II and supporters of Robert Baratheon. Martells plan far in advance; they are masters of “thinking ahead.” To hide her son, Elia would not be able to follow him. In order to keep enemy threats from looking for her son; they would need to believe that he was/is not missing. As an infant, it would be easy to swap one for a similar looking other. Elia would need the help of the Spyder, Varys, to control the whispers and would need Ser Willem Darry to smuggle the child to safe hands on Dragonstone. Since Elia and Rhaenys were women, they were not threats to the throne; and thus, it would seem unnecessary to swap Rhaenys. As an older child, Rhaenys would also be more recognizable and difficult to swap and smuggle without notice or suspicion. If Ser Willem Darry was seen with a silver haired child and a silver-haired baby: one was Viserys and the other . . . Aegon? When Rhaella and Viserys left with Ser Willem Darry to Dragonstone, was Aegon amongst them without Viserys’ awareness (as Viserys is/was often oblivious)? At some point, was Aegon switched again for Daenerys? . . . It is an interesting possibility. At infancy and as a 2-3-year-old, a baby boy can look like a baby girl. Entitled Viserys was not likely willing to change diapers, dress, or bathe a baby/child. I think that it is possible that Aegon is not a Mummer’s farce. Quaithe warns Dany about the “Mummer’s Dragon” in her list of individuals that Daenerys should not trust. The Dragon: Blackfyre vs. Targaryen. The Mummer: a pretender or actor. The “ ‘s ” : tells us that the pretender has possession of the dragon. Who is the pretender and who is the Dragon? The Griffin was also on the list of those whom Dany will be meeting. Jon Connington is acting under the alias of, “Griff.” Young-Griff-Aegon is his dragon. The name “Young-Griff” also denotes possession between the two. Here is the standardized test analogy answer: The Mummer is to the Dragon as : Griff is to the Young Griff. The mummer has possession of the dragon : as : Griff has possession of Young Griff. Trust none of them! So why trust Quaithe? Trust is earned over time; it takes watchful waiting. Dany does not trust Quaithe and she doesn’t quite understand Quaithe. So Far, Quaithe has not asked Dany for anything. Quaithe is not directly telling Dany what to do either. Quaithe does not seem to be using Dany for her own purpose (so far). Quaithe has not yet proven herself to be someone Dany can trust; but she hasn’t harmed Dany yet, either. Her advice does not tell Dany exactly what to think. Quaithe’s vague advice is wise, old, and sage. It allows Dany to make up her own mind. The prediction of the pale mare followed by the dysentery at Astapor/Meereen, does prompt Dany to take Quaithe seriously. “To go north you must go south. To reach west you must go east. To go forward you must go back and to touch the light, you must pass beneath the shadow.” The above reminds me of another coming of age story about a young woman who is growing up and needs to realize who she is, what is important in life, and the full extent of her inner-strength and determination. Jim Henson wrote a story and created a movie for his daughters who were in transition from adolescence to adulthood . . . like Daenerys. Jim Henson’s, “ The Labyrinth.” It is full of his advice and warnings of the same nature. When I saw Labyrinth as a young adolescent, it went over my head, and I erroneously took it literally . . . just like we see Daenerys erroneously do. Some advice in Labyrinth for Jim’s daughters: “The way forward is sometimes the way back. Quite often it seems like we’re not getting anywhere, when in fact, we are. You can’t look where you’re going if you don’t know where you’re going. You can’t take anything for granted. It’s hopeless to ask, when you do not ask the right questions. No, it’s not fair, but that is the way it is.” Sarah has to solve the Labyrinth on her own, as does Daenerys. The advice from Quaithe (GRRM) and Jim is saying: To move forward in your life, you have to look back and learn from mistakes and discover what you want and what you do not want. Trial and error must be done, to go in any direction; it cannot be avoided (to go north, you must go south, to go east you must go west). In addition, to reach a goal you have to do things that you may not want to do and travel where you do not want/intend to go . . . to go east, you must go west. You have to struggle, suffer, scrape, and sacrifice to reach your highest goals. As humans, we do horrible things and experience terrible betrayals and we feel harsh, horrible feelings; horrible past experiences can create the growth within that creates goodness and *enlightenment*. . . . *to touch the LIGHT, you must pass beneath the shadow*. Wherever Dany goes, she will find a (different and additional) Truth, about herself and the world. Do not trust anyone, trust should be earned and not given blindly. From where I’m standing, Quaithe has been giving motherly / fatherly advice and encouragement. Quaithe is acting more like a caring guardian than a guide. Hence, I have the impression that Quaithe is a Westerosi citizen who’s significant to Dany, Rhaegar, Arthur, Willem . . . The “War of the Roses” started with a “HENRY” on the throne and END-ed (peace sufficiently restored) with a “HENRY” (different last name) on the throne. “A Song of Ice and Fire,” by GRRM, started with an “AEGON” the conqueror on the iron throne. Like “War of the Roses,” will it END (peace sufficiently restored) with an “AEGON” the conqueror (different last name) on the iron throne?
